Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.473855 0.555099 0.646498 0.757032 0.887231 1.035894 1.218779
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.333293 0.433973 0.560116 0.730206 0.954280 1.240390 1.635066
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.279381 0.390248 0.539492 0.755976 1.063545 1.487226 2.119294
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.235543 0.348316 0.509250 0.757051 1.131634 1.680939 2.555397
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.206652 0.321026 0.492704 0.771129 1.215406 1.903602 3.063583
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.177680 0.288227 0.461701 0.756237 1.249296 2.051160 3.473433
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.155847 0.262954 0.437970 0.747832 1.289828 2.211597 3.925254
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.139539 0.244165 0.421658 0.748374 1.343714 2.399405 4.450481
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.132037 0.239232 0.427740 0.787964 1.470766 2.731445 5.287755
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.125357 0.234702 0.433616 0.827407 1.602247 3.088775 6.228306
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.117638 0.227124 0.432723 0.853514 1.711153 3.417223 7.162158
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.108978 0.216558 0.424702 0.864253 1.790396 3.696947 8.037936
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.098571 0.201583 0.406904 0.854280 1.828793 3.905059 8.809752
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.088052 0.185105 0.384166 0.831185 1.836721 4.051557 9.473945
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.083575 0.180644 0.385566 0.859995 1.962492 4.474286 10.851450
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.077221 0.171290 0.375298 0.861280 2.025603 4.763713 11.957658
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072693 0.165381 0.371766 0.877364 2.125551 5.153986 13.384356
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.066253 0.154305 0.355213 0.860347 2.142640 5.345652 14.329721
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.060998 0.145347 0.342446 0.850741 2.176756 5.584812 15.445337
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.056902 0.138662 0.334235 0.851361 2.237215 5.900880 16.831834
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.055714 0.138957 0.342970 0.896605 2.422451 6.576473 19.375054
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.054505 0.139048 0.351201 0.941692 2.614261 7.300556 22.201283
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.052549 0.136975 0.353660 0.971540 2.768132 7.942622 24.901487